{"id":526606,"date":"2026-10-18T08:15:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-18T01:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/2026\/10\/18\/survei-smrc-elektabilitas-prabowo-kalah-dari-kdm-anies-ahy-hingga-gibran\/"},"modified":"2026-10-18T08:31:43","modified_gmt":"2026-10-18T01:31:43","slug":"survei-smrc-elektabilitas-prabowo-kalah-dari-kdm-anies-ahy-hingga-gibran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/2026\/10\/18\/survei-smrc-elektabilitas-prabowo-kalah-dari-kdm-anies-ahy-hingga-gibran\/","title":{"rendered":"Survei SMRC, Elektabilitas Prabowo Kalah dari KDM, Anies, AHY, hingga Gibran"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>BANDA ACEH<\/b> &#8211; <a title=\"Survei\" href=\"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/tag\/survei\/\">Survei<\/a> Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (<a title=\"SMRC\" href=\"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/tag\/smrc\/\">SMRC<\/a>) menunjukkan Presiden <a href=\"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/tag\/prabowo-subianto\/\">Prabowo Subianto<\/a> sebagai petahana akan kalah dengan beberapa nama lain jika pemilihan presiden (pilpres) dilaksanakan saat ini.<\/p>\n<p>Dalam survei 1-10 Oktober 2026 terhadap 1.213 responden secara acak itu, elektabilitas sejumlah tokoh seperti <a title=\"Kang Dedi Mulyadi\" href=\"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/tag\/kang-dedi-mulyadi\/\">Kang Dedi Mulyadi<\/a> (KDM), <a title=\"Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono\" href=\"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/tag\/agus-harimurti-yudhoyono\/\">Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono<\/a> (<a title=\"AHY\" href=\"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/tag\/ahy\/\">AHY<\/a>), bahkan Wapres <a href=\"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/tag\/gibran-rakabuming-raka\/\">Gibran Rakabuming Raka<\/a> jauh meninggalkan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/tag\/prabowo\/\">Prabowo<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Peneliti SMRC Saidiman Ahmad menyampaikan bahwa dalam simulasi semi terbuka, responden diberi daftar 24 nama tokoh dan boleh menuliskan nama lain di luar daftar tersebut.<\/p>\n<p>Hasilnya, Presiden Prabowo hanya mendapat dukungan 9,8 persen. Bersaing ketat dengan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/tag\/anies-baswedan\/\">Anies Baswedan<\/a> pada angka 10,3 persen dan Gibran Rakabuming Raka dengan raihan 8,4 persen.<\/p>\n<p>\u201dDedi Mulyadi (KDM) jauh meninggalkan semuanya dengan 35,5 persen,\u201d kata Saidiman dalam keterangan resminya pada Sabtu (17\/10).<\/p>\n<p>Yang juga mengejutkan, kata dia, simulasi head to head Prabowo dengan KDM mencatatkan angka 69,3 persen untuk KDM. Sementara Prabowo hanya mendapat 18,8 persen dukungan.<\/p>\n<p>Sementara, pada simulasi tiga nama, yakni, Prabowo, Gibran, dan AHY, Prabowo bahkan tertinggal dari Gibran yang mendapat dukungan 29,7 persen serta AHY 28,2 persen.<\/p>\n<p>SMRC mencatat Prabowo hanya mendapat dukungan 22,7 persen dalam skema itu. Sementara, sisa 19,4 persen responden tidak menjawab.<\/p>\n<p>\u201dGibran dan AHY bersaing ketat satu sama lain, tetapi keduanya sama-sama unggul atas Prabowo. Tanpa Dedi pun, sang petahana tertinggal dari 2 politisi yang jauh lebih muda,\u201d ujarnya.<\/p>\n<p>Menurut Saidiman, hasil survei dengan margin of error lebih kurang 2,9 persen itu menunjukkan bahwa publik secara umum memang sudah tidak menginginkan Prabowo kembali terpilih dalam pilpres.<\/p>\n<p>\u201dPersoalannya bukan semata karena muncul figur yang sangat cemerlang. Ketika figur itu disingkirkan dari simulasi pun, Prabowo tetap tertinggal,\u201d ungkap dia.<\/p>\n<p>Dalam survei pada Februari\u2013Maret lalu, kata Saidiman, Prabowo masih unggul dengan angka 50,5 persen dan KDM 42,6 persen.<\/p>\n<p>Sejak Juli, kondisinya berbalik. KDM mendapatkan angka 59 persen dan Prabowo turun ke 28,3 persen. Bulan ini jaraknya semakin lebar.<\/p>\n<p>\u201dDalam 8 bulan, posisi Prabowo merosot dari unggul menjadi tertinggal lebih dari 50 poin,\u201d imbuhnya.<\/p>\n<div class=\"pdfprnt-buttons pdfprnt-buttons-post pdfprnt-bottom-right\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/aplikasi-api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/526606?print=print\" class=\"pdfprnt-button pdfprnt-button-print\" target=\"_blank\" ><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/apps\/pdf-print\/images\/print.png\" alt=\"image_print\" title=\"Print Content\" \/><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Survei Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) menunjukkan Presiden Prabowo Subianto sebagai petahana akan kalah dengan beberapa nama lain jika pemilihan presiden (pilpres) dilaksanakan saat ini.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":526607,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_robots_follow":"","_seopress_robots_imageindex":"","_seopress_robots_snippet":"","_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"34","_seopress_robots_breadcrumbs":"","_seopress_robots_freeze_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_custom_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_canonical":"","_seopress_social_fb_title":"","_seopress_social_fb_desc":"","_seopress_social_fb_img":"","_seopress_social_fb_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_height":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_title":"","_seopress_social_twitter_desc":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_height":0,"_seopress_redirections_value":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled_regex":"","_seopress_redirections_logged_status":"","_seopress_redirections_param":"","_seopress_redirections_type":0,"_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"survei,prabowo subianto,kdm,anies baswedan,ahy,agus harimurti yudhoyono,gibran rakabuming raka","_seopress_news_disabled":"","_seopress_video_disabled":"","_seopress_video":[],"_seopress_pro_schemas_manual":[],"_seopress_pro_rich_snippets_disable_all":"","_seopress_pro_rich_snippets_disable":[],"_seopress_pro_schemas":[],"footnotes":"","_disable_autopaging":true},"categories":[34],"tags":[3192,3194,182,274908,68,304272,324024,1420,242,2081],"series":[],"class_list":["post-526606","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nasional","tag-agus-harimurti-yudhoyono","tag-ahy","tag-anies-baswedan","tag-berita","tag-headline","tag-kang-dedi-mulyadi","tag-kdm","tag-peristiwa","tag-politik","tag-prabowo-subianto"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/aplikasi-api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/526606","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/aplikasi-api\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/aplikasi-api\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/aplikasi-api\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/aplikasi-api\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=526606"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/aplikasi-api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/526606\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":526615,"href":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/aplikasi-api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/526606\/revisions\/526615"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/aplikasi-api\/wp\/v2\/media\/526607"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/aplikasi-api\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=526606"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/aplikasi-api\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=526606"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/aplikasi-api\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=526606"},{"taxonomy":"series","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.harianaceh.co.id\/aplikasi-api\/wp\/v2\/series?post=526606"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}